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Bank of Japan QT Strategy Does the Heavy Lifting While Rate Hikes Stay Timid
The prevailing read on the Bank of Japan is that it remains stubbornly cautious, tiptoeing through rate hikes while inflation runs hot and the yen slides. The Bank of Japan QT strategy,…
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US Mortgage Rates Weekly Surge Masks a More Fractured Housing Market
The consensus reading of the US mortgage rates weekly surge is that it deals a broad, uniform blow to housing. The data underneath that headline is messier, and in some ways more troubling,…
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US Trade Deficit August Figures Carry a Wrinkle the Bears Are Missing
The US trade deficit in August is being read almost universally as proof that tariffs have failed. The monthly numbers are genuinely bad, but one figure buried in the broader data complicates…
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The Dollar Reserve Currency Role Is Hiding in Plain Sight, Just Not Where You’re Looking
The consensus on the dollar reserve currency role is not wrong, exactly. It is looking in the wrong place. While commentary continues to obsess over the International Monetary Fund’s…
