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Treasury Bond Market Selloff Deepens as 30-Year Auction Hits Highest Yield Since 2001
The consensus framing around this week’s Treasury bond market selloff centres on inflation data. That reading is not wrong, but it is incomplete: the more uncomfortable story is how many…
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Why Washington’s Federal Funds Rate Filters Through to UK Mortgage Deals
A policy statement delivered by the US Federal Reserve in Washington can seem utterly remote from someone scrolling property listings in Manchester, or from a borrower arranging new terms in…
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Trump’s Stay-at-Home Parent Subsidy Plan Has a Conservative Critic Problem
The consensus read on the stay-at-home parent subsidy being drafted by the Trump administration is that this is a culture-war policy wrapped in a cheque. That framing is not wrong, but it…
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US Industry Employment Shifts Reveal an Economy Pulling in Two Directions
The prevailing read on US industry employment shifts is that the labour market is holding up reasonably well. The sector-by-sector data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics complicates…
